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Europe could stop depending on China for the manufacture of lithium batteries for electric vehicles in 2027 , according to forecasts from the European Federation of Transport and Environment (Transport & Environment — T&E —) As can be seen from its latest analysis A European Response to US Inflation Reduction Act , the European Union (EU) is in a position to produce enough lithium-ion cells to fully satisfy domestic demand for electric vehicles and energy storage . These are the Chinese electric cars that will land in Spain in 2023 However, the environmental group warns: "The EU needs a policy that counteracts US subsidies or risks losing investment and jobs in the electric vehicle (EV) supply chain ." If the latter were to occur, it would also mean a great blow to the labor market , since the expected number of high-quality jobs would not be created.

China will lose ground in the manufacturing of lithium battery components China could also lose quite a bit of ground when it comes to lithium battery components. This same report also reveals that the EU is likely to produce domestically 2 thirds of its own demand for cathodes – made from key raw materials – from 2027. However, companies still have time to transfer some of the projects planned in Europe to the United States , tempted by the tax advantages and other subsidies included in the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) and those that locate battery supply chains on the American continent would benefit. China's real estate crisis is about to get worse Dependency on China for the refining and treatment of battery metals could also be drastically reduced: more than 50% of European demand for refined lithium could come from European projects in 2030, according to T&E forecasts.



The materials would come from foreign mines or directly from European projects in accordance with a future European critical raw materials law, as long as they meet strict environmental standards. Europe will have to put more money so that the United States does not keep the battery factories For Carlos Rico, head of policy at T&E Spain, " the phasing out of combustion engines in the EU by 2035 has already stimulated many investments. Currently, half of the lithium-ion battery cells used in the EU are manufactured in European territory". But the Inflation Reduction Act , he adds, has changed the rules of the game: "Europe will have to put more money on the table if it does not want to risk the United States taking away the battery factories and the planned jobs." T&E suggests that a European Sovereignty Fund should be created to support green technologies through joint debt issuance.
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